Carroll (FW)
Boys - Girls
2023 - 2024 - 2025
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State Rank #29
New Haven Regional Rank #4
West Noble Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 25th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.1%
Advance to State Finals 84.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational
Date 8/24 9/7 9/14
Team Rating 456 423 448 895
Team Adjusted Rating 423 448 456
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Marion Invitational Northrop Bruin Invitational
103  Aidan Borbiev 11 16:39 16:37 16:38 16:39
191  Zaraab Habib 11 16:59 17:09 16:57 16:50
298  Abe Lee 17:19 17:16 17:19
308  Sam Sweet 17:20 17:16 17:20
336  Cohen Brunson 10 17:24 16:55 17:25 17:32
337  Will LeCoque 11 17:25 17:42 17:10 17:25
571  E.J. Ellingson 12 17:57 17:48 17:48 18:11 17:59
611  Charlie Mitchell 10 18:03 18:24 17:44 18:02 18:06
625  Jordan Pyle 11 18:04 18:52 17:45 17:56
795  Evan Yoder 11 18:21 17:53 18:18 18:47 18:13
825  Cal Sloffer 10 18:24 18:09 18:26 18:05 19:02
945  Antonio Uncheselu 12 18:34 18:31 18:38
Dylan Vlaskamp 10 20:06 18:45 20:34 20:06




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 84.7% 23.2 545 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.8 1.1 1.4 2.6 3.3 4.9 7.1 11.0 18.5 32.7
Regionals 100% 4.2 150 0.4 5.9 26.2 29.9 22.4 13.7 1.3 0.2
Sectionals 100% 1.0 41 100.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aidan Borbiev 99.9% 107.4 0.0 0.0 99.1% 99.7%
Zaraab Habib 92.9% 168.6 53.7% 80.3%
Abe Lee 85.0% 202.5 1.6% 20.5%
Sam Sweet 84.9% 204.1 1.0% 17.9%
Cohen Brunson 84.8% 209.9 0.1% 9.7%
Will LeCoque 84.8% 210.4 0.3% 9.7%
E.J. Ellingson 84.7% 236.4 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aidan Borbiev 100% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.2 1.8 2.8 3.4 4.6 5.0 6.4 7.3 6.9 7.8 7.5 7.0 6.7 5.7 4.8 5.0 3.4 2.9 2.5 1.6 100.0%
Zaraab Habib 100% 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 1.0 1.0 1.6 2.0 3.0 3.4 3.3 5.1 4.9 5.5 7.0 6.5 100.0%
Abe Lee 100% 38.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.7 100.0%
Sam Sweet 100% 39.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 100.0%
Cohen Brunson 100% 43.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Will LeCoque 100% 43.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 100.0%
E.J. Ellingson 100% 70.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Aidan Borbiev 3.2 2.9 13.1 26.6 40.6 12.9 3.1 0.7 0.1
Zaraab Habib 5.5 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.5 28.8 31.1 16.2 10.2 5.6 1.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
Abe Lee 9.7 0.0 0.4 2.9 8.6 12.1 13.9 16.2 16.1 13.0 8.3 5.3 2.3 0.8 0.1
Sam Sweet 10.1 0.0 0.3 2.7 6.6 9.7 13.5 16.3 15.4 13.5 10.4 7.0 3.5 1.1 0.1 0.0
Cohen Brunson 11.5 0.0 0.8 2.6 4.8 7.6 11.3 14.7 16.2 16.9 12.8 8.3 3.4 0.4 0.1
Will LeCoque 11.6 0.1 0.7 2.4 5.0 7.8 9.7 14.6 16.2 17.5 14.2 8.1 3.3 0.3 0.1
E.J. Ellingson 16.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 5.7 16.2 32.3 18.0 10.3 6.9 4.0 2.5 1.1 0.5 0.3